DOFG.OL DOF Group
Offshore · CSV / AHTS / PSV / PLSV / Cable_layer · 66 documents
DOF Group's 60-vessel offshore fleet — 26 Csv, 21 AHTS, 6 PSV and 7 across 2 other classes — should earn about $99,451 a day in 2026Q3 and pay between $0.33 and $0.42 a share. That is our forecast (PATTERN payout on ASSUMED TCE).
Yields annualise each quarter ×4 at the last close, $14.01 (2026-10-19). Our model is not company guidance.
What will DOF Group pay for 2026Q3?
Rates in, dividend out 2026Q3
Model Your scenarioSet a rate per vessel class and the statement below re-prices: our model’s figures in one column, yours beside them. These are your numbers, not our forecast and not company guidance; nothing you set is saved.
Latest rates
| Class | Company earned | Booked 2026Q3 | Market now | 8 weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Csv · 26 | $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series | |
| Ahts · 21 | $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series | |
| Psv · 6 | $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series | |
| Plsv · 6 | $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series | |
| Cable_Layer · 1 | $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series |
Company earned: the issuer’s own reported TCE (linked). Booked: cover the issuer printed for 2026Q3. Market now: the median across the broker route prints we hold for the class — a derived blend, not a vendor index; the trend is rebased to 100 eight weeks ago.
Your rates every day is at your rate
2026Q3 P&L and cash
| Line | Model | Your scenario | Δ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vessel-days, days modelledShips on the fleet list × the quarter's calendar days for ahts, cable_layer, csv, plsv, psv: no off-hire or drydock days are deducted there. |
5,520 | 5,520 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
By class
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fleet TCE, $/day assumed | 99,451 | 99,451 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue (TCE basis), $m assumedVessel-days × fleet TCE. |
549.0 | 549.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vessel opex, $m assumed2026Q2: $366.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day. |
(366.0) | (366.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
G&A, $m assumed2026Q2: $0.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day. |
0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| EBITDA, $m assumed | 183.0 | 183.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hire for chartered-in ships, $mNot on file for any quarter (not extracted, or not disclosed). |
— | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense, $m assumed2026Q2: $31.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day. |
(31.0) | (31.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scheduled debt amortisation, $m stated2026Q2: $31.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day (the issuer’s scheduled principal). |
(31.0) | (31.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Drydock cost, $mNo separate drydock cash line on file. |
— | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash break-even, $/day assumedΣ cash costs above ÷ vessel-days. |
77,536 | 77,536 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cushion vs fleet TCE, $/day | 21,915 | 21,915 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow to equity, $m assumedRevenue − cash costs: the cash available for distribution. |
121.0 | 121.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance capex, $mNot disclosed as a cash line; not in the model’s cash. |
— | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividend policy pattern
No stated payout policy on file.
Dividend by payout-history fit; it does not move with the rate, so your scenario leaves it unchanged.
| Output | Model | Your scenario | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated DPS, $/share assumed | $0.38 | ||
| Forward yield, run-rate % | 10.8% | ||
| vs last declared ($0.38, 2026Q2) | -0% |
Yield annualises the quarter’s DPS × 4 (a run-rate, not a forecast of the year) against the $14.01 close on 2026-10-19.
Our model’s DPS comes from payout-history fit, which moves with the rate but cannot be re-run here — your scenario moves the cash line, not the DPS.
Showing the model’s own figures. Setting your own rates needs JavaScript.
Dividend per share declared · model
Market context — rates, the dividend, and the price
Rates and dividend — realized rate and declared
Bars are the fleet TCE this issuer reported. Dashed-outline bars are the model estimate — see Dividend forecast.
The line is the declared dividend per share — dashed where it is the model's estimate. Model estimate — not issuer guidance.
Forward (our model — model quarter ×4): $1.51/yr · @ $14.01 (as of 2026-10-19) = 10.8% yield (spot-exposure scenario)
How we got the number
How to read this page
Every figure here is built the same way: the fleet's vessel-days are priced at the rate its classes earned, costs and debt service come off, and what is left is measured against the dividend the company actually declared. Nothing is estimated where it can be sourced, and a number that cannot be sourced is withheld rather than filled in. The full method, and the rates behind it →
Where DOFG.OL departs from that
- No market index covers this fleet's vessel types, so each is priced at the company's own last realized rate per calendar vessel-day (revenue divided by vessel-days), held flat — the revenue track record shows how that has done.
- Fewer than four quarters of paired rate-and-dividend history, so the payout relationship is indicative rather than fitted.
- Vessel-days are modelled from the fleet list (ships × days in the quarter); no issuer day count is curated for this quarter.
- Csv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26).
- Ahts: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26).
What drives it — fleet TCE, 2026Q3
Earnings bridge — 2026Q2 → 2026Q3
Dividend history & forecast accuracy
Upcoming
| Quarter | Ex-date (est.) | Forecast DPS | Actual DPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 E | — | $0.38 | — |
| 2026Q4 E | 2027-02-25 est. | $0.38 | — |
| Period | DPS | Kind | Ex-date | Pay date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ex 2026-08-27 | $0.38/share | regular | 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-04 | as of 2026-09-04 key information announcement |
| ex 2026-05-28 | $0.37/share | regular | 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | as of 2026-06-04 key information announcement |
| 2025-Q4 | $0.35/share | regular | 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-05 | as of 2026-02-19 key information announcement |
| ex 2025-11-19 | $0.35/share | regular | 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-27 | as of 2025-11-27 key information announcement |
DPS method: payout-history fit.
Financials & fleet
Latest quarter 2026Q2 2 qtrs old
21× ahts · 1× cable layer · 26× csv · 6× plsv · 6× psv current
Revenue model track record model vs realized
Each quarter priced at the previous quarter's realized rate, held flat — the figure the model holds once that quarter is reported — against the rate the fleet actually realized. Average miss 10.1% over 3 backtested quarters.
| Quarter | Record | Model $/day | Realized $/day | Model rev $M | Realized rev $M | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | backtest | 77,467 | 76,964 | 427.6 | 424.8 | +0.7% |
| 2026Q1 | backtest | 76,964 | 74,014 | 415.6 | 399.7 | +4.0% |
| 2026Q2 | backtest | 74,014 | 99,451 | 404.1 | 543.0 | -25.6% |
Backtest rows apply today's rule to past quarters using only the prior quarters' reported rates; live rows are the forecast as frozen on the date shown. Revenue is rate × vessel-days, so a miss here is a rate miss.
Fleet model — 2026Q3
Fleet model estimate — not issuer guidance.
| Class | Ships | TC | Spot | % Fixed | Guided $/d | Spot $/d | Blended $/d | QTD rev $M | Modeled Q rev $M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Csv | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 99,451 | — | 237.9 |
| Ahts | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 99,451 | — | 192.1 |
| Psv | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 99,451 | — | 54.9 |
| Plsv | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 99,451 | — | 54.9 |
| Cable_Layer | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 99,451 | — | 9.1 |
| Total | 60 | 99,451 | — | 549.0 | |||||
Guided rates are issuer-booked cover for 2026Q3 blended with the company's own realized rates for the open days.
Bear uses booked coverage only; Base prices open vessels at the company's own last realized fleet rate — no market index covers this fleet, so there is no peak-index Bull case.
Model gaps & assumptions
csv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · ahts: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · psv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · plsv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · cable layer: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · one-model DPS not used: fewer than 3 quarters of rate and dividend history, no break-even, or it does not explain the company's own dividends (R² < 0.5)
Profit statement highlights
| Line | 2026Q2 | 2026Q1 | YoY Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $543.0M | $413.0M | — |
| Opex | $366.0M | — | — |
| Net income | — | — | — |
reconciliation: insufficient data for an earnings bridge (2026Q2) earnings bridge incomplete — treat income-derived figures as provisional
Full P&L grid — 4 quarters
| Line item | 2026Q2 | 2026Q1 | 2025Q4 | 2025Q3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue $M | 543.0 | 413.0 | 439.0 | 449.0 |
| Voyage expenses $M | — | — | — | — |
| Vessel opex $M | 366.0 | — | — | — |
| G&A $M | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| Depreciation $M | — | — | — | — |
| Interest expense, gross $M | 31.0 | — | — | — |
| Net income $M | — | — | — | — |
| Declared DPS | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.35 | — |
Realized fleet TCE
Realized fleet TCE versus benchmark: 4 points, 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-01; Realized fleet TCE latest 99,451.00.
Benchmark comparison will appear once issuer-printed benchmark data is available.
Benchmark index — monthly average
Benchmark index monthly average: 5 points, 2025-08-01 to 2026-04-01; HE semi dayrate (fixtures) latest 450,000.00; 7th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 357,250.00; 6th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 300,000.00; Jackup dayrate (fixtures) latest 150,000.00.

Guidance & sources
Sources — press, filings & documents
Press & filings by quarter
Recent documents
- newsweb 2026-10-14T10:04:07Z DOF Group ASA - Contract extension (2026-10-14)
- newsweb 2026-10-12T15:09:51Z DOF Group ASA - Awarded Subsea Decommissioning Contract in the North Sea (2026-10-12)
- newsweb 2026-10-02T08:30:03Z DOF Group ASA - Letter of intent for Large contract (2026-10-02)
- newsweb 2026-09-15T05:05:31Z DOF Group ASA - Capital Markets Day, 15 September 2026 (2026-09-15) presentation
- newsweb 2026-09-03T12:21:23Z DOF Group ASA - Mandatory notification of trade (2026-09-03) pdf
- newsweb 2026-08-27T05:00:10Z DOF Group ASA - Ex dividend USD 0.38 today (2026-08-27)
- newsweb 2026-08-26T20:35:19Z DOF Group ASA - Exercise and settlement of share options (PDMR notice) (2026-08-26) pdfpdfpdf
- newsweb 2026-08-19T05:00:28Z DOF Group ASA - Financial Report for 2nd quarter 2026 (2026-08-19) pdfreportpresentation
- newsweb 2026-08-19T05:00:13Z DOF Group ASA - Key information relating to cash dividend (2026-08-19) pdf
- newsweb 2026-08-14T13:19:59Z DOF Group ASA - Subsea service contract awards in the APAC region (2026-08-14)
- newsweb 2026-08-13T10:25:15Z DOF Group ASA - Invitation to Capital Markets Day, 15 September 2026 (2026-08-13) pdf
- newsweb 2026-08-13T09:39:28Z DOF Group ASA - Invitation to Capital Markets Day, 15 September 2025 (2026-08-13) pdf